Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 2.887710 3.189053 3.514357 3.892591 4.321479 4.794083 5.356156
2025-06-29 2.411766 2.808924 3.266457 3.836061 4.531073 5.357800 6.424997
2025-07-06 2.040058 2.465240 2.977875 3.648048 4.510770 5.597382 7.091060
2025-07-13 1.857025 2.313879 2.886111 3.665978 4.717560 6.110516 8.136793
2025-07-20 1.734387 2.218845 2.846052 3.732688 4.978731 6.706456 9.354650
2025-07-27 1.638619 2.145708 2.821773 3.809421 5.250713 7.335379 10.691828
2025-08-03 1.548865 2.070253 2.783717 3.857179 5.478172 7.915613 12.024799
2025-08-10 1.463767 1.992660 2.733475 3.878221 5.661760 8.441854 13.335961
2025-08-17 1.351737 1.867602 2.603990 3.767033 5.626542 8.613555 14.068367
2025-08-24 1.269368 1.779153 2.520401 3.716471 5.678302 8.925761 15.080306
2025-08-31 1.203719 1.710511 2.460595 3.696312 5.774449 9.317920 16.287132
2025-09-07 1.175297 1.695383 2.480246 3.803230 6.090878 10.123846 18.398334
2025-09-14 1.116983 1.632026 2.422311 3.781021 6.187973 10.557432 19.866386
2025-09-21 1.059818 1.567007 2.357387 3.741663 6.250579 10.934167 21.281893
2025-09-28 0.978621 1.459374 2.216975 3.561794 6.040208 10.762982 21.483478
2025-10-05 0.943528 1.423452 2.191328 3.579670 6.197749 11.331078 23.434424
2025-10-12 0.919981 1.404675 2.192512 3.644556 6.449775 12.119405 26.045229
2025-10-19 0.899691 1.389896 2.199114 3.719103 6.727095 12.994703 29.044433
2025-10-26 0.875814 1.367644 2.191189 3.765490 6.951718 13.784177 31.991122
2025-11-02 0.849227 1.339272 2.170643 3.785924 7.124198 14.478613 34.833956
2025-11-09 0.804241 1.277113 2.086757 3.677935 7.015536 14.511687 35.835563
2025-11-16 0.771234 1.234137 2.034869 3.628822 7.028489 14.832651 37.739178
2025-11-23 0.744645 1.201119 1.999185 3.609239 7.103967 15.313961 40.233065